Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 23.567169 27.285570 31.332348 36.054765 41.405109 47.269270 54.173603
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 17.097137 22.136910 28.173843 35.895069 45.460648 56.871053 71.456564
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 12.943323 18.344267 25.329069 34.928581 47.667603 63.867380 85.880335
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 10.501988 16.063192 23.730434 34.909811 50.595324 71.587931 101.523174
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.825044 14.438620 22.624144 35.185503 53.668810 79.496343 117.840944
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.972057 12.185256 20.212515 33.151494 53.070700 82.056881 126.738083
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.215075 11.487921 19.988095 34.262091 57.071265 91.381803 145.906276
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.728011 11.140392 20.234308 36.075136 62.238934 102.760767 168.893826
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.858681 9.977512 18.964406 35.233709 63.047997 107.447048 181.920688
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.016342 8.715454 17.338803 33.562290 62.261602 109.453600 190.758812
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.840043 8.695623 17.914021 35.772649 68.190456 122.698602 218.504339
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.809625 8.959014 19.032675 39.055919 76.229674 139.954085 253.907579
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.397007 8.396861 18.569982 39.478511 79.441579 149.671655 278.063758
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.930955 7.644015 17.644912 38.941229 80.910731 156.608860 298.213874
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.484576 6.846676 16.507680 37.830752 81.163200 161.370131 314.865697
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.191784 6.353954 15.940021 37.796466 83.457524 169.955653 338.880893
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.962058 5.971280 15.555624 38.089642 86.403659 179.928409 366.049335
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.606359 5.182253 14.118469 35.904845 84.059251 179.655581 374.103540
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.495592 5.038876 14.188711 37.097472 88.868078 193.538736 409.828855
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.433728 5.023305 14.569330 39.043974 95.451928 211.353977 454.200005
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.240032 4.573660 13.785531 38.140687 95.713500 216.482033 474.050812
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.035635 4.040152 12.694821 36.345922 93.788414 216.962156 484.635145
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.018088 4.110612 13.247056 38.719262 101.600782 238.225326 538.472650